Summer 2025 energy trends to look out for

Following a winter of extreme volatility in the power and gas markets, business consumers are understandably keen to understand what to expect in the summer months ahead.

The experts on our Optimisation Desk have pooled their market insight and analytical skills to set out potential scenarios – and the key drivers to watch out for – in our Summer 2025 Outlook report.

With the US imposing tariffs on imports from a wide range of countries, we are carefully waiting to see how any reciprocal tariffs play out – and the longer-term impact this could have on global energy markets.

One thing’s for sure: volatility is set to continue.

Five energy trends to watch out for

In terms of other market dynamics, the Summer 2025 Outlook also looks at:

1. Tariffs: a wave of US tariffs aimed at boosting domestic industries has sparked trade war fears, driving up price volatility in energy and related markets.
2. Gas storage levels: especially key as European supplies have been depleted by a late cold winter snap.
3. Asian weather: as this drives demand for the same liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies we’re competing for in Europe.
4. Canadian LNG: with uncertainty over whether retaliatory tariffs will be imposed on American energy commodities, interest is growing in Canada’s efforts to ramp up its own LNG exports over the coming months.
5. Russian/Ukraine ceasefire: if this materialises, any softening on importing Russian gas back into European markets could ease supply concerns.

Positive impact of growing UK renewables

Summer 2025 is expected to bring the highest-ever renewable generation capacity.

Forecasts suggest wind power generation could be around 1.25 GW higher than last summer, and solar generation is also expected to hit an all-time high.

But while this may create periods of lower prices, it also makes us more vulnerable to deviations in the weather.

Our report shares more on this, as well as the benefits our interconnectors provide.

Request your copy

For more information about the full range of important energy price drivers to keep your eye on, request your copy of our Summer 2025 Outlook here - which is due to go live over the Easter period.